Timely Verification at Large-scale Gas Centrifuge Enrichment
Plants
Authors: R.J. Goldston, M.E. Walker, A. Glaser
Abstract: Commercial-scale gas centrifuge enrichment
plants present a substantial challenge to the goal of timely
detection and deterrence of the production of weapons-grade
uranium. If one 500 tSWU/year unit of a reference 4000 tSWU/year
enrichment plant were appropriately reconfigured, the plant could
produce 17 SQ of weapons-usable material per month, assuming the
use of ten days prior production of 5% enriched LEU, plus ongoing
production in the remaining unmodified units. A toolbox of
unattended verification technologies, however, could be used to
detect this activity quickly, motivating the IAEA to initiate
follow-up activities, potentially on a rapid time scale. These
unattended measurement devices should be implemented only as
needed, and must have extraordinarily low false alarm rates. They
could potentially provide significant benefit to plant operators,
in particular through allowing the release of LEU product
cylinders without the physical presence of inspectors.
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